Elon Musk says AI will be smarter than some humans by next year – Fortune

Posted: Published on April 12th, 2024

This post was added by Dr Simmons

Elon Musk is getting even more bullish on artificial intelligence.

The Tesla CEO, in an interview on Twitter/X, has accelerated his forecast for the capabilities of AI, saying he expects large language models will surpass human intelligence by the end of 2025.

My guess is that well have AI that is smarter than any one human probably around the end of next year, Musk told Nicolai Tangen, CEO of Norges Bank Investment Management, in an interview livestreamed on X, as reported by the Financial Times.

Within five years, Musk added, AI will be smarter than every human on earth.

Its worth noting that Musks forecasts are often premature, especially when they revolve around products he is trying to selland his Grok is trying to become a player in the AI world. He has, for years, said self-driving Teslas were right around the corner, but the technology is still being refined. He originally said SpaceX would be flying to Mars by 2024 (the tentative date is now 2029). And Teslas Cybertruck rolled out more than two years later than he said it would.

The AI prediction, though, is an upgrade for him. Previously, he had forecast that full artificial general intelligence wouldnt be achieved until 2029.

Microchip bottlenecks are easing, however, Musk said, and that could accelerate the pace of development.

Musks bullishness on AI comes just one year after he signed an open letter calling for a six-month moratorium on the development of advanced AI systems, and following a long history of concerns and the threat he feels it may pose to humanity.

Musk was a cofounder of OpenAI, but left the company in 2018 and has been a critic of its work since. He has lately been looking to persuade investors to pour billions into Groks parent company, xAI, with a goal of bumping its valuation up to $18 billion.

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Elon Musk says AI will be smarter than some humans by next year - Fortune

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